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Florida Orange Production Coming Back
USAgNet - 08/15/2018

After enduring pestilence and a deadly hurricane, Florida's orange growers are finally catching a break. In the season that starts October 1, the state may reap 70 million boxes of the fruit, according to the average estimate of four traders and analysts in a Bloomberg survey. That compares with 44.95 million the prior year, the smallest crop since 1945, government data show. The survey response range was 65 million to 80 million.

Orange production in Florida, the No. 1 U.S. grower, has been dwindling for years thanks to the scourge of the Asian citrus psyllid, a tiny winged insect that spreads the bacterial disease known as citrus greening. Greening has decimated groves and increased costs for crop maintenance. Last year, the industry also suffered a blow from Hurricane Irma after the storm smashed into trees in September and damaged fruit.

Bloomberg reports that orange juice futures have jumped 17 percent over the past 12 months to about $1.59 a pound in New York trading.

The crop is finally getting a bit of a lift after better weather and as more growers develop methods to fight the greening disease. Output of 70 million boxes would be the biggest in three years, data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture show. The agency will issue its first estimate for the upcoming season on Oct. 11. A box weighs 90 pounds, or 41 kilograms.

Even as Florida's crop rebounds, falling production in Brazil could help to support prices amid low global stockpiles, said Andres Padilla, an analyst for Rabobank International in Sao Paulo. Poor crops last year reduced world inventories by 22 percent from a year earlier to 365,168 metric tons, the second-lowest since 1991, USDA data shows.


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