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KENTUCKY WEATHER

Texas Cotton Faces Uncertain 2026 Season

Texas Cotton Faces Uncertain 2026 Season


By Jamie Martin

Texas row crop producers are entering the 2026 planting season with growing uncertainty as weather patterns, market conditions and economic pressures combine to increase risk. Farmers across the state are closely watching early season conditions while making careful decisions about planting and input use.

Much of Texas has remained warm and dry since the fall due to ongoing La Niña conditions. Although this weather pattern is expected to ease by early spring, limited moisture may continue into key planting periods. Dry soil conditions could affect crop establishment, especially cotton, which is planted over a wide range of dates across the state.

This situation is very different from the previous year, when well-timed rainfall helped support strong cotton yields. The current dry start increases the chance of lower production and may lead to greater price swings during the spring and early summer.

Cotton prices remain closely tied to global markets because most U.S. cotton is sold overseas. While weather concerns can sometimes cause short-term price increases, these gains often do not last through harvest. As a result, growers face added risk when deciding when and how to market their crops.

In addition to weather and market challenges, producers continue to face rising input costs. Expenses such as fertilizer seed fuel and equipment remain high, while crop prices have not increased at the same pace. This imbalance is tightening profit margins and adding financial stress to many Texas row crop operations.

As planting approaches, Texas cotton farmers are moving forward cautiously. Managing weather uncertainty, market volatility, and high costs will be critical to maintaining farm stability during the 2026 growing season.

Photo Credit: gettyimages-awakr10


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