By Jamie Martin
A new study from Texas A&M University warns of a significant decline in broiler chicken fertility rates by the year 2050. The research shows that hatchability — the percentage of fertilized eggs that successfully produce chicks — may fall to 60%, down from the current success rate of 75%.
Conducted by graduate students Cara Cash and Kolton Witherspoon and published in Poultry Science, the study is based on data collected from the USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service between 2013 and 2022. It reveals troubling trends in hatchability, chick viability, and overall production efficiency.
Giri Athrey, Ph.D., a co-author of the study and associate professor in poultry science, said, “This study is the first to paint a clear picture of the problem and forecast future declines.”
As U.S. chicken production rises—from 18.85 million to 23.15 million tons between 2013 and 2022—fertility issues could threaten this growth. Per capita chicken consumption has also increased significantly, making hatchability rates even more critical for meeting demand.
To support further understanding, the team developed a Broiler Breeder Performance Index, a tool that tracks long-term fertility and production trends. The study also examines potential causes such as genetic selection and management practices.
In response to declining fertility, producers have increased egg setting, but this can raise production costs, impacting the entire supply chain.
The research emphasizes the urgent need for continued scientific and agricultural innovation to ensure future food security. Athrey noted that improving reproductive performance in broiler breeders should be a priority for the poultry industry moving forward.
Photo Credit: texas-am-university
Categories: National